Lewis Hamilton is ready to defy the odds by defending his Formula One world championship despite nearing 200 days without a victory.
The 33-year-old British driver is winless from the opening three rounds, and without a victory in his last six appearances dating back to October’s US Grand Prix.
Hamilton has been off the pace in recent races and heads into Sunday’s Azerbaijan Grand Prix nine points adrift of championship leader Sebastian Vettel.
Hamilton was only fifth here in practice on Friday and again behind his Mercedes team-mate Valtteri Bottas, who has out-qualified him at the last two rounds.
It has been almost three decades since Frenchman Alain Prost failed to win any of the first four races before beating Ayrton Senna to the 1989 championship. Prost was the last driver to achieve such a feat.
Hamilton’s task has been made all the harder this year by Ferrari’s continued threat, while Red Bull have also emerged as serious contenders with Daniel Ricciardo winning so impressively in China a fortnight ago and fastest in practice on Friday.
“I don’t think about statistics and I am always one for wanting to defy the odds,” Hamilton said. “If we don’t win this weekend I plan on changing that statistic.
“Do I feel the need for the win? I am enjoying the battle and the whole experience, and that is what motorsport is all about. Finishing first is obviously a great feeling, but it always feels better when you have come from further back.
“When it feels like you have had a harder slog to get that victory, the win always feels better so when it does arrive, it is going to be great.”
For the first time in the hybrid era, Hamilton’s Mercedes team are no longer the sport’s dominant force. Indeed their failure to win last time out in China marked the first time since 2013 that one of their cars has failed to take the chequered flag in three consecutive outings.
The Baku Street Circuit has not been kind to Hamilton since its debut on the calendar in 2016 either. He finished only fifth in that first race before a loose headrest cost him victory a year ago.
A confident and in-form Daniel Ricciardo forecast he will be a strong contender for another victory in this weekend’s Azerbaijan Grand Prix after topping the practice times on Friday.
The big-smiling Australian, who won last year’s race and also the Chinese Grand Prix two weeks ago, was narrowly quickest ahead of Kimi Raikkonen of Ferrari.
He said he felt he had a strong car for Sunday’s race, but feared that his main rivals may be faster in Saturday’s qualifying session.
“But even if we don’t qualify on the front row, we’ll still have a very strong race car,” he said. “We’re still in the group of favourites.”
Ricciardo clocked a best lap time of one minute and 42.795 seconds to outpace Raikkonen by just 0.069 seconds with Red Bull team-mate Max Verstappen third, 0.116 seconds adrift.
Verstappen’s lap was a welcome outcome on another turbulent day which had seen him crash into the barriers during the opening practice in the morning – after crashes and incidents at all of the three season-opening races.
Valtteri Bottas, who was fastest in the morning session wound up fourth for Mercedes ahead of team-mate and defending four-time world champion Lewis Hamilton and two-time champion Fernando Alonso of McLaren.
Esteban Ocon of Force India was seventh, ahead of Carlos Sainz of Renault, Kevin Magnussen of Haas and Nico Hulkenberg in the second Renault.
World championship leader and four-time champion Sebastian Vettel was only 11th for Ferrari, but said he was not too concerned by his problems.
“It is a tricky circuit, but it is the same for all of us,” said Vettel.
“Probably, I struggle a little bit more than the others, but I am not worried. Towards the end I had a good rhythm and was quite happy so I think we can improve for tomorrow.”
Hamilton, who trails Vettel by nine points in the title race after failing to win in any of this year’s opening three events, said he felt confident his Mercedes team would resolve their issues with tyre performance.
“Baku has not been a great hunting ground for me in the past, but we have had only two races here,” he said. “I am sure we can sort out the tyres. I have rock solid confidence in my team.”
Lewis Hamilton may have started the season as the overwhelming favourite to clinch a fifth world title, but the Mercedes star now finds himself trailing by nine points in the championship after three races and yet to taste victory in 2018.
Sebastian Vettel’s victories in Australia and Bahrain proved the Ferrari has pace this year and can be a serious threat to Mercedes dominance in the constructors’ championship.
For all of Hamilton’s class behind the wheel, he was lucky to clinch a podium in Bahrain after starting from ninth and surviving a collision with Max Verstappen on the first lap.
Vettel’s victory in that race was up there with his very best – a masterclass under deteriorating soft tyres for 39 laps to hold off Valtteri Bottas on the final frenetic laps to seal a 49th victory of his career.
And for those of us who believed that the title race would be one-sided in terms of the dominance from Hamilton, we have seen enough over the first three races to know this year is set up to be a thriller
Winless since the US Grand Prix last October, the 33-year-old now finds himself behind Vettel in the drivers’ championship and struggling for pace and confidence.
But as early in the season as it may be, Hamilton and his Mercedes team will be ruing missed opportunities, with three chances slipped in as many races.
In Australia, Mercedes got their figures wrong and miscalculated the gap between Hamilton and Vettel during the virtual safety car – and the German took the lead after a slow Mercedes pitstop with 38 laps remaining to win.
A hydraulic leakage in his gearbox in Melbourne, forced a change and a five-place grid penalty in Bahrain.
Hoping to get back to winning ways in the Gulf, Mercedes lacked pace throughout practice and qualifying – and Hamilton appeared to struggle and ended up qualifying fourth, behind Bottas in third.
Starting from ninth after the grid penalty, he survived a clash with Verstappen after making up three places, passing Fernando Alonso, Esteban Ocon and Nico Hulkenberg in mesmerising fashion.
This set him up for a run to fourth, but with Kimi Raikkonen retiring midway through the race, he went on to secure third in a less than smooth performance.
In China, Hamilton dominated the practice sessions but was then out-qualified by Bottas for a second successive weekend and admitted after the race in Shanghai that he would need to do a bit of soul-searching to figure out what is wrong.
Another strategy error during the virtual safety car cost Hamilton a place on the podium, with both Mercedes and Ferrari opting not to pit after Pierre Gasly’s crash with 25 laps to go.
Red Bull capitalised on the opportunity and sent both drivers into the pits and they emerged on a new rubber with pace, hunting down the leading pack and Daniel Ricciardo went on to take victory.
Hamilton sealed fourth, with Bottas in second.
It is too early to be reading into this lack of quality form, especially with another 18 races left in the season, but Hamilton appears to be lacking in belief, pace and that winners touch that we are normally so used to seeing.
But, there is no doubt he will come storming back.
The Stevenage native is not a four-time world champion for nothing, and of course, like any job or sport, there is bound to be bad days along the journey.
It is impossible for anyone to perform at a consistently high level across the entire season, and with the Ferraris gaining solid ground, this season is set up to be a cliffhanger as Hamilton and Vettel go in search of that illustrious fifth world title.
Advantage may be in the German’s favour at this point, but expect Hamilton to fight back to his best form in Baku.