Success can bring its own set of problems – and this is something Al Hilal are acutely aware of as Thursday’s Zayed Champions Cup final against Tunisia’s Etoile du Sahel slots into an exhausting fixture list.
The overworked Saudi Arabian heavyweights are in the midst of nine matches across four different competitions during April. Prevail during their sixth of the month and they’ll remain on course for a legendary quintuple, although their imminent opposition at Al Ain’s Hazza bin Zayed Stadium will intend to derail these lofty ambitions at the first time of asking.
Here are the talking points:
TESTING MAMIC’S METTLE
Infamy or history await Hilal supremo Zoran Mamic.
From being on the verge of the sack after defeats in the AFC Champions League and Saudi Professional League less than a fortnight ago, things are looking rosy again for the Croatian.
His astuteness must now come to the fore when he attempts to pull off an expert juggling act that would spawn envious glances from a Cirque du Soleil performer.
Vocal Hilal fans have rallied against tournament organisers on social media for this punishing period, while suggesting that they wouldn’t mind seeing the King’s Cup sacrificed.
This will not be Mamic’s view. But could weariness play a defining role on Thursday?
Resource management is key. This should mean fresh opportunities for the likes of underperforming January addition Hattan Bahebri, while resting key performers like weary ex-France striker Bafetimbi Gomis at apt moments.
Get it right and Mamic will be a legend. He knows after less than three months in the hot seat, however, how quickly the mood can change if he doesn’t.
ETOILE’S GUIDING HAND
What can Hilal expect from the Tunisians?
They sit a distant third in the Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1, in contrast to the new SPL leaders. A gentle run to this decider has seen them edge past, largely, fellow North Africans, granted they do seem bound for the CAF Confederation Cup semi-finals.
None of their number featured in last month’s Tunisia squad.
But in septuagenarian boss Roger Lemerre they boast a Euro 2000 winner with France. His wiles may be key to springing an upset.
Embattled Al Hilal boss Zoran Mamic will be the centre of attention during a potentially decisive round 27 of the Saudi Professional League.
A 2-1 midweek defeat to Iran’s Esteghlal in the AFC Champions League deepened the sense of crisis at the champions. Rumours have swirled about the 47-year-old being dismissed if his side are defeated at fellow heavyweights Al Ahli Jeddah, little more than two months since he was poached from Al Ain after the startling exit of Jorge Jesus.
Elsewhere, bottom-placed Ohod could be relegated and there is a gargantuan match of great significance at both ends of the table when leaders Al Nassr host floundering giants Al Ittihad.
Here are the latest talking points:
MAMIC’S LAST STAND?
How have we come to this?
Even in the frenetic, capricious and chaotic realm of the SPL, Mamic’s fall from grace has been staggering. From gallantly prevailing in nine of his first 11 fixtures in all competitions, to winning just two of his last five.
Critically, this spell included devastating 97th-minute defeat in last month’s Riyadh derby at Nassr – a result which saw the Croat’s six-point lead upon arrival descend into a one-point disadvantage.
Crippling injuries in centre midfield have bitten. But this does not fully explain perplexing decisions such as the ill-advised shackling of the adventurous Mohamed Kanno as the anchor man and placing the ageing Sebastian Giovinco on the wing.
Hilal will also have to deal with fit-again Syria centre forward Omar Al Somah. Fifth-placed Ahli’s last domestic outing was an ominous 4-0 dismantling of defensively minded Al Shabab Riyadh, although they went down 2-0 versus Iran Persepolis in midweek.
Spirit and mentality will be key for the visitors at a lively King Abdullah Sports City.
Has Mamic’s parlous situation, however, already reached critical mass, or will his squad scrap for their manager? We’ll soon find out…
UPS AND DOWNS
Nassr and Ittihad were Saudi football’s financial basket cases.
Both benefited more than most from the General Sports Authority’s lavish summer reset of the struggling Saudi game.
Deserved pacesetters Nassr have soared with the likes of 25-goal predator Abderrazak Hamdallah. Yet at the Tigers, institutional crisis and reckless spending appears systemic.
They’ve spent the entire season in the relegation places. But three-successive wins, in three different competitions, have escalated hope of a late escape act under the rehired Jose Luis Sierra.
A fourth will reshape the scrap for survival and glory.
OHOD VICTIMS OF OWN CHAOS
The time is fast approaching to say “Maa Salam” to bottom-placed Ohod.
A trio of coaches and six winter foreign signings point to endemic disorder.
An 18th defeat of the campaign, against third-bottom Al Fayha, will seal their fate. Even victory might not be enough if results don’t go their way, elsewhere.
Such mismanagement means they will not be missed.
Al Hilal’s lurch into crisis mode has continued apace. Calls to ditch boss Zoran Mamic, little more than two months into his tenure, increased on Monday night when defeat was tasted for the first time in the 2019 AFC Champions League.
What is going wrong with the Crescent and are there signs the mid-season replacement for revered Portuguese coach Jorge Jesus can turn it around? Here, Sport360° takes a look:
After two-successive transfer windows of significant spending, a desire to end their 19-year wait for Asian glory is all encompassing at Hilal.
Ex-Benfica and Sporting Lisbon tactician Jesus’ reluctance to commit for the full 2019 continental campaign – it runs from February-November – caused a ruthless decision. Out went the 64-year-old on January 30 and in came Mamic, fresh from a stirring run to the 2018 Club World Cup final with Al Ain.
A seamless transition saw nine of the ex-Croatia international’s first 11 fixtures won, to a commanding combined score of 24-7. But the Saudi Professional League holder’s goalless draw with bottom-placed Ohod on March 23 has sent them into a tailspin.
Brazil defender Bruno Uvini’s 97th-minute winner in the intense Riyadh derby, less than a week later, against Al Nassr witnessed a six-point lead upon Mamic’s arrival to descend into a painful one-point disadvantage to his former club. Uncertain wins from 2-1 and 2-0 down at Ettifaq, in the King’s Cup quarter-finals, and Al Hazem, in the top flight, followed.
A growing disquiet reached fever pitch on Monday in Doha when Hilal found themselves 2-0 in arrears by the half-hour mark against Esteghlal, the Persian Gulf Pro League’s fourth-placed side. Ex-France striker Bafetimbi Gomis’ fortunate second-half goal then could not prevent a loss, which nevertheless left them top of Group C at the halfway point.
Another reversal at fellow SPL giants Al Ahli Jeddah on Friday cannot be countenanced.
Only a nuanced change in style has been applied by Mamic at King Saud University Stadium – variations of a 4-2-3-1 formation and emphasis on width remain.
If the approach has remained, broadly, static, results haven’t. Jesus’ win percentage of 76 per cent and goals-per-game ratio of 2.6 has declined to 68.8 and 2.1 under his successor. Conjecture will surround culpability.
Results had slowed in the final months of Jesus’ incumbency. After he won 12 of his first 13 matches, a decline to five victories in 12 began.
Mamic picked up the pieces from Saudi Arabia’s disappointing 2019 Asian Cup and has had to manage pressurised ACL commitments.
These challenges have been faced without a functioning engine room. Abdullah Otayf played twice for him before serious injury, fellow sublime centre midfielder Salman Al Faraj has been unavailable throughout.
Australia centre-back Milos Degenek’s subsequent struggles up the pitch have been predictable.
Further fitness issues have hampered Brazil talisman Carlos Eduardo’s influence at No10.
Niggles for support striker Jonathan Soriano, further, meant Gomis became overburdened. He scored once from February 25-March 29, prior to netting three times in his last two run-outs.
Yet, the decision to deploy a 4-1-4-1 formation in the second half at Nassr proved disastrous. An over-exposed defence then careered towards an early cup exit at Ettifaq.
The soft headers that Esteghlal plundered further point towards a lack of defensive rigour.
All blame cannot be apportioned to Mamic, yet he isn’t blameless.
Only once in Hilal’s recent downturn have they been dominated – critically, this came at Nassr.
They lost against Esteghlal with 68-per-cent possession and 13 attempts on goal, to their opponents’ six. A combined 34 efforts drew only one goal from the 1-1 draw with Al Wehda and stalemate that followed in the SPL versus Ohod.
Mamic’s men are still creating opportunities. Converting them is the issue.
This is where psychology is key. The last-minute Nassr loss, seemingly, deepened nagging doubts and denied salvation.
Hilal are 15 points and four places better off than weekend opponents Ahli. April 2016 is also the last time they lost to them in normal time, a run that encompasses nine matches.
This statistical superiority must be reflected at King Abdullah Sports City. If not, press the panic button.