Gracenote’s computer-generated Euro Club Index is predicting that Real Madrid will finish as champions again this season, in an even closer title race.
Whereas Madrid won the league by three points last season, the prediction for this season is that Los Blancos will pip bitter rivals Barcelona to the title despite finishing level on points.
Of course, that means that Real Madrid would have to win the head-to-head tiebreaker, given that goal difference is not the first tiebreaker in La Liga.
Otherwise, the two sides would have to play out identical draws in this season’s Clasicos, or win one each by identical scorelines – with Madrid having to have a better goal difference overall, for the Index’s outcome to come true.
It’s also worth bearing in mind that last season, Barcelona had a vastly superior goal difference to Real Madrid’s – +79 to +65, so this model is predicting a huge swing on that account.
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