Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season? We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.
We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why.
Today’s edition features potential signings for Manchester United, PSG and Tottenham.
CALLUM WILSON & DAVID BROOKS
RUMOUR: Bournemouth -> £80m -> Spurs
Tottenham are ready to end their self-imposed transfer drought by swooping for the double signature of striker Callum Wilson and midfielder David Brooks from Bournemouth, claim The Sun.
WHY IT WILL HAPPEN: If Tottenham are going to dine at the top table of not just the Premier League but Europe for years to come, they need more quality bodies in the squad. When Harry Kane went down they were left with a fairly useful Fernando Llorente, but Wilson – the top EPL scorer outside the top six behind Jamie Vardy last season (14) – oozes class. Brooks is just 21 but was a sensation in his first year in the top tier, and could potentially replace Christian Eriksen if needed as a versatile option in midfield.
WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: Seriously, how many ‘double swoops’ ever happen? Bournemouth will be loath to give up not just one but two of their prized assets, especially as another in Ryan Fraser could run down his contract and walk for free next season. Every Premier League club can hold out for a premium given the cash sloshing around, and it’s difficult to imagine a parsimonious Daniel Levy breaking the bank for either.
TRANSFER PREDICTOR: 4/10
Manchester United have made their initial interest in Lyon striker Moussa Dembele concrete by submitting a €40m bid for his services, say Goal.
WHY IT WILL HAPPEN: The chatter over the exits of Romelu Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez, potentially both to Italy and even Inter Milan, continues to grow. United need replacements – even if Sanchez’s presence was a black hole – and a young striker with room to grow at a rather reasonable price for this day and age makes a whole lot of sense. Marcus Rashford needs both help and competition, and former Celtic striker Dembele – who scored 20 goals for Lyon this season – can tick both boxes.
WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: The Lukaku and Sanchez offload plans could easily fall through given their bloated wages and rotten reputations at the moment. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer does also have the incredibly talented academy youngster Mason Greenwood at his disposal, though he doesn’t even turn 18 until October. And there’s been, er, talk about a potential move for Antoine Griezmann from The Independent.
TRANSFER PREDICTOR: 8/10
Nicolas Pépé’s 2018-19 Ligue 1 season by numbers:— Squawka Football (@Squawka) May 24, 2019
118 total shots
108 fouls won
102 take-ons completed
70 chances created
*phones begin to ring* 🤑 pic.twitter.com/tGSw7UjQ0x
RUMOUR: Lille -> €80m -> PSG
Lille have slapped an €80m price tag on Nicolas Pepe and are in negotiations with PSG, according to Yahoo Sport journalist Manu Lonjon.
WHY IT WILL HAPPEN: In April, Pepe notched a goal and two assists as Lille blew Paris Saint-Germain away. It did nothing but postpone PSG’s cruise to the Ligue 1 title, but it clearly made them sit up and notice. With Neymar and Edinson Cavani out for large portions of the campaign, their back-ups were cut from a rather uninspiring cloth. The 23-year-old Pepe – who hit 20 goals in the league – is a superstar of the future, a future in which they hope the Champions League lies.
WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: As always – just how much can PSG spend to remain on the right side of the FFP rules? A sale of Neymar is a distinct possibility, especially as they continue to ferociously deny that Kylian Mbappe is going anywhere. They also need cover in midfield, given that Adrien Rabiot is leaving on a free and they were forced to play defenders Marquinhos and Dani Alves there for parts of the year, while Leandro Paredes hasn’t lit up Parc des Princes yet. The Parisians may well have to negotiate that price tag down significantly.
TRANSFER PREDICTOR: 7/10
Lyon president Jean-Michel Aulas revealed star man Nabil Fekir can leave the Ligue 1 club this summer.
Fekir, who was set to join Liverpool last summer before negotiations broke down, has been linked with a move away from Lyon for over a year now.
With a switch looking highly likely at the end of last campaign, Jurgen Klopp’s side pulled the plug on a potential deal after concerns were raised about the player’s history with knee injuries.
But the Reds are reportedly set to reignite their interest in the France midfielder again after next Saturday’s Champions League final against Ajax.
Fekir, who is under contract at Groupama Stadium until 2020, has scored 12 goals and provided nine assists in all competitions this season.
He has made 192 appearances since joining the club from Saint-Priest in 2013, scoring 69 goals and was named club captain earlier this campaign.
“Effectively, Nabil is outside [of the two departures expected], because we have an understanding that he can go,” Aulas said.
“Thanks Nabil for bringing what he brought, we have an understanding to let him go.”
Los Blancos endured a disappointing 2018-19 campaign, finishing third in La Liga – 19 points behind winners Barcelona and eight points behind Atletico Madrid in second.
Left-back was among the positions in need of vast improvement, and Mendy has emerged as the man who could help fix Real Madrid’s defensive issues ahead of next season.
The 23-year-old has made 77 appearances for Lyon since his 2017 switch from Le Harve and was recently called up to Didier Deschamps’ France squad.
Mendy will be 24 in June and, with Marcelo turning 31 earlier this month, is the ideal candidate to fill the Brazilian’s boots for years to come at the Bernabeu.
And according to the Spanish publication, there is agreement between Madrid and the player, who is expected to cost around €50m.
If Real Madrid are unable to sign Mendy, there are other alternatives in Junior Firpo.
The Real Betis star produced a solid campaign – scoring and assisting in the 4-3 win over Barcelona back in November – and would be a cheaper option than Mendy.