Transfer predictor: Jan Oblak to Man United is a 3, Nicolo Barella to AC Milan a 6

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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season? We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why.

Today’s edition features potential signings for Manchester United, Benfica and AC Milan.

JAN OBLAK

BeFunky-collage (1)

Atletico Madrid -> €120m -> Manchester United

Broken promises about the future at Atleti have forced the boyhood United fan to consider a world-record move away, according to ESPN.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN: The Slovenia goalkeeper has publically voiced dissatisfaction about the talent drain at Wanda Metropolitano. An exit is, potentially, offered by the uncertainty that surrounds current Red Devils No1 David de Gea. If a new contract cannot be agreed and a summer exit to Paris Saint-Germain – also suitors for Oblak – follows, then they couldn’t select a better successor. Oblak’s affinity to the club also means a lack of Champions League football doesn’t matter, while the presence of a release clause makes the switch less complicated.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: Unless De Gea departs this summer, the move will not occur. There is still hope that his stay will extend into a ninth year. United also have plenty of work to do in the market, meaning even they might not be able to allocate much cash to secure Oblak.

Transfer rating: 3/10

RAUL DE TOMAS

BeFunky-collage (3)

Real Madrid -> €20m -> Benfica

Impressive form on loan at Rayo Vallecano has seen the optimistic Portuguese champions come forward with a bid that is below Madrid’s valuation, according to MARCA.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN: For all the cocksure De Tomas’ impressive exploits at the relegated Madrid minnow, he was La Liga’s joint-third highest-scoring Spaniard in 2018/19, there seems few prospects for success at Santiago Bernabeu. With Eden Hazard, Rodrygo and Luka Jovic joining the long queue in front of him, a quick sale should appeal. Benfica offer Champions League exposure, solid links with Madrid president Florentino Perez and a platform to shine.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: Benfica remain €20m short of Madrid’s valuation. To meet it, they’d need to almost double their transfer record. Competing interest from great rivals Porto, as reported by A Bola, has further complicated matters. It would also not be a great surprise if richer clubs from the Premier League and elsewhere in La Liga were to get involved in an auction.

Transfer rating: 5/10

NICOLO BARELLA

BeFunky-collage (2)

Cagliari -> €50m -> AC Milan

A last-minute interjection by AC Milan for the emerging Italy midfielder appears to be threatening Inter’s efforts when a deal appeared certain, according to Gazzetta dello Sport.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN: A failure by the Nerazzurri to nail down a transfer fee and wages for the 22-year-old has opened up a window of opportunity. Milan are reported to be open to sending striker Patrick Cutrone, plus cash, the way of the Sardinians to tempt them. With Tiemoue Bakayoko expected to head back to Chelsea and a desire emerging to cash-in on Franck Kessie, there is space to fill in the Rossoneri XI.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: Inter can offer access to the Champions League and are less encumbered by Financial Fair Play obligations. The opportunity to work under Antonio Conte must appeal, while Milan are currently managerless. Barella is also a boyhood Inter supporter.

Transfer rating: 6/10

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Barcelona and Man United targets Matthijs de Ligt and Donny van de Beek discuss futures

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Highly-rated Ajax duo Matthijs de Ligt and Donny van de Beek are keeping their options open amid transfer interest from some of Europe’s biggest clubs.

A memorable season came to a disappointing end for the pair on Sunday evening as Holland lost 1-0 to hosts Portugal in the inaugural Nations League final.

De Ligt and Van de Beek had been hoping to cap a campaign to cherish with more silverware, having played a key role in Ajax’s domestic double and their eye-catching run to the Champions League semi-finals.

The Amsterdam club’s golden crop is now set to be disbanded, with a number of big names looking set to follow Barcelona-bound Frenkie de Jong in making an exit.

Teenage sensation De Ligt has been strongly linked to Barcelona, Manchester United, Juventus and Paris Saint-Germain, but the in-demand defender is in no rush to make a decision.

Asked after the Nations League final what colour shirt he would be wearing next season, the 19-year-old said: “I don’t know. I don’t know.

“Now I am going on vacation and I just take a rest, relax and then I will see.

“When you rest you have enough time to think, so that’s good.”

Press Association Sport understands that the United hierarchy have long expected De Ligt to join Barcelona, where De Jong has already agreed to move.

Cristiano Ronaldo asked the young centre-back if he was joining Juventus after Sunday’s final, while Liverpool and Manchester City have also been mentioned as possible destinations for one of the stars of Ajax’s run to the Champions League semi-finals.

Asked how he reflected on the campaign, De Ligt told Press Association Sport: “I think it was a difficult end to a memorable season.

“I think in the beginning we didn’t expect to reach the final, but we did and if it is a final you want to win it.

“I am not happy that we lost but proud that we came here.”

Ajax team-mate Van de Beek echoed those sentiments after Holland just fell short at the Estadio do Dragao on Sunday night.

The 22-year-old is excited about the future of Dutch football and he too could be on the move this summer.

Reports suggest Van de Beek would be keen to move to Manchester United or Tottenham this summer, while Real Madrid are among the other clubs to be linked with a move.

“My situation is I have a contract with Ajax and I am really happy,” he said.

“You never know what is going to happen in the future but I can say nothing about that.”

Van de Beek was more forthcoming on the situation regarding team-mate De Ligt, with it appearing a matter of when rather than if the defender leaves.

“I’ve known him a long time and he has a big personality,” he said.

“He is a really good guy, a really good player he is a good professional who always trains extra and he is a really good guy.”

Asked if De Ligt may leave, Van de Beek said: “I don’t know.

“A lot of clubs want to buy him, I think so because he is a good player and now he has to choose for himself, where he feels good, he has to go there.”

Hakim Ziyech and Andre Onana are other Ajax players to be linked with an exit as Erik ten Hag’s side looks set to be dismantled – a sad development for the neutral, but one Van de Beek is philosophical about.

“You see that a lot,” he said. “Players go to another country, another competition, that’s normal in Holland, in the Dutch league, you see that a lot of times.”

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Daily transfer predictor as twist in Antoine Griezmann saga linking him to PSG gets a 5

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Antoine Griezmann.

Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season? We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why.

Today’s edition features potential signings for Paris Saint-Germain, Tottenham and Manchester United.

ANTOINE GRIEZMANN

0614 Antoine Griezmann

Atletico Madrid -> €125 million (release clause) -> Paris Saint-Germain

After months of speculation that Barcelona will complete the signing of Antoine Griezmann, SPORT have reported that a twist in tale can be expected with PSG entering the picture.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

Edinson Cavani is not getting any younger and PSG could do with a player in his prime to help them bury the ghosts of embarrassing Champions League exits.

It might be hard to ignore the call of home – Griezmann could choose the French team over Barcelona out of respect for Atletico and the urge to play in his home country.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

SPORT have been very inconsistent with their transfer rumours and one would definitely think twice before taking their word.

Besides, in Kylian Mbappe, Neymar and Griezmann, PSG will have an even more twisted struggle for supremacy between players who want to be the centre of proceedings on their hands. The world saw what happened when Neymar and Cavani clashed. Griezmann would not be the best addition where man-management and player hierarchy is concerned.

Transfer rating: 5/10

NATHAN AKE

NathanAkeChelseaBournemouth

Bournemouth -> £40 million -> Tottenham

After finishing runners-up in the Champions League without reinforcing their squad, Spurs could go all out in the summer transfer window. According to the Sun, the list could start with Cherries centre-back Nathan Ake.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

With huge doubts cast over the future of Toby Alderweireld at the club, Spurs find themselves needing a centre-back with enough quality to jump straight into the starting line-up.

Ake has impressed at Bournemouth, displaying enough quality to now be in consideration for a starter’s role at a top English club. Experience in the Premier League further strengthens his case for a move to the London side.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

There are no reports of any top clubs vying for the Dutch defender’s signature and the possibility of this deal maturing is theoretically low. And, given his transfer could be conditional to Alderweireld leaving, it’s certainly not set in stone. But, you should always anticipate the unexpected in football.

Transfer predictor: 7/10

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

Christian Eriksen

Tottenham -> undisclosed -> Manchester United

Christian Eriksen recently admitted that he could leave the Champions League runners-up this transfer window. While Real Madrid are said to be in pole position to acquire his signature, United too are said (the Evening Stadard) to have joined the race after Paul Pogba’s name started appearing in Madrid newspapers.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

Should Madrid seal the Pogba signing, United will be clutching at straws to replace him with a world class player. This means that the man in question could receive a massive salary and a key role in the squad rebuild.

Youri Tielemans and Eriksen have been linked to the Red Devils, with the Dane tipped to receive a huge salary boost and other incentives should he choose Old Trafford.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

There are a lot of ‘ifs and buts’ in this transfer. To start with, Eriksen could sign for Madrid, with Pogba staying put at United. Madrid could sign both the players and force United to look for another player.

Eriksen deciding to stay at Spurs can’t be ruled out either, given United would not exactly be an upgrade from the London-based club due to their woes in recent years.

Transfer rating: 3/10

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