Transfer Predictor: Sean Longstaff to Man United is a 4, Gianluca Mancini to Roma a 9

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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season? We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why.

Today’s edition features potential signings for Manchester UnitedJuventus and Paris Saint-Germain:

SEAN LONGSTAFF

BeFunky-collage (1)

Newcastle United -> £50m -> Manchester United

The Red Devils have been left stunned by Newcastle’s demands and have threatened to move onto other midfield targets, according to The Telegraph.

Why it will happen: Longstaff is a Magpie through and through, yet recent events at Newcastle are forcing his exit. Mentor Rafael Benitez has departed and the first team looks in a parlous condition. Man United offer a jump up the table, greater exposure and bigger wages. Manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s faith in young, British talent makes the promising midfielder, 21, an obvious target. The new £50 million price tag – more than double the suitors’ valuation – could also just be a bargaining position.

Why it won’t happen: But if it is not mere posturing, this deal looks dead in the water. Newcastle are, apparently, using the fee paid to Crystal Palace by United for right-back Aaron Wan-Bissaka as a benchmark. Longstaff, however, has only nine Premier League appearances to his name and no England youth caps. Put in this context, the £30m discrepancy looks insurmountable.

Transfer Predictor: 4/10

GIANLUCA MANCINI

Gianluca Mancini

Atalanta -> €20m -> Roma

Roma look poised to imminently land Italy’s latest defensive prospect on a loan with an obligation to buy, according to gianlucadimarzio.com.

Why it will happen: A hole exists in the Roma backline after the sale of Greece’s Kostas Manolas to Napoli and Mancini is the logical player to fill it. The 23-year-old excelled at Atalanta last term, helping to guide them to the Champions League. But bigger wages and a grander platform with the Giallorossi are irresistible. With Juventus hot on the trail of Matthijs de Ligt and now in possession of Sassuolo loanee Merih Demiral, there isn’t any obvious competition.

Why it won’t happen: Only a last-minute issue can scupper this deal. Not even a lack of Champions League football is, seemingly, a hurdle for Mancini.

Transfer Predictor: 9/10

IDRISSA GUEYE

Idrissa Gana Gueye

Everton -> €30m -> Paris Saint-Germain

The Ligue 1 giants have restarted negotiations for their winter transfer target and hope to get the deal done this time, according to L’Equipe.

Why it will happen: PSG have long been desperate for midfield reinforcements and they’ve set about getting them this summer. Ander Herrera and Pablo Sarabia are already on board, but there is still a desire for a new defensive midfielder. At 29-years old, Everton will be keenly aware that now could be the time to cash in. It is also far-less disruptive to sell in the summer than January. A return to France for former Lille star Gueye and the offer of Champions League football appear irresistible.

Why it won’t happen: Gueye was the Everton’s joint Player’s Player of the Year for 2018/19 and is a key part of Marco Silva’s project. The Toffees ended last term in fantastic form and will hope to push up the table. Combined with the financial power of all Premier League clubs, their demands may make the deal make less sense for PSG.

Transfer Predictor: 6/10

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Man United near Harry Maguire deal as Barcelona trigger £170m Antoine Griezmann release clause

Press Association Sport 10:24 12/07/2019
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What the papers say

Manchester United are confident a compromise can be reached with Leicester in their pursuit of Harry Maguire, according to The Sun. But they have dropped their interest in Newcastle’s Sean Longstaff after being quoted £50million for him.

The Mirror also says United have been quoted a £50million fee for Longstaff. They are reportedly ready to walk away from a potential deal for the 21-year-old midfielder, who has made only nine Premier League appearances and is yet to represent England at any age-group level, as they feel he is only worth between £18m and £20m.

Manchester United target Steven Bergwijn is set to snub a move to Old Trafford and wait for Bayern Munich to make an offer, according to the Mail.

Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp has blocked Rangers manager Steven Gerrard from signing Ryan Kent, the Express reports.

Barcelona are closing in on the signing of Antoine Griezmann after finally activating his £170million release clause, says the Mirror.

Players to watch

Virgil Van Dijk: Barcelona enquired about the possibility of signing the former Celtic player from Liverpool, the Mirror reports. But they were quickly given short shrift by the Dutch defender’s representatives.

Bjorn Engels: Aston Villa manager Dean Smith is targeting the Belgian centre-back to boost his side’s defensive options, according to the Mail.

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Transfer Predictor: Man United's pursuit of Nikola Milenkovic gets a 6, James Rodriguez to Napoli a 7

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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season? We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why.

Today’s edition features potential signings for Manchester United, Juventus and Napoli:

NIKOLA MILENKOVIC

Nikola Milenkovic

Fiorentina -> €50m -> Manchester United

Manchester United have made an enquiry with Fiorentina over the transfer of Nikola Milenkovic, according to the Gianluca Di Marzio.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN: United have so far failed in their efforts to lure more high profile centre-backs to Old Trafford and with pre season training already underway, they’re in a race against time. Milenkovic is someone they’ve watched for a while. Given his age and potential, he fits the profile as someone who could develop into a star. It would be a huge step up in wages and platform for the defender.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: United reportedly had a €40m bid for the Serbian rejected in January. The €50m asking price then may even be hiked now. That could prove to be a stumbling block with Ole Gunnar Solskjaer insisting that United won’t “overpay” for signings.

TRANSFER PREDICTOR: 6/10

MATTHIJS DE LIGT

Matthijs de Ligt

Matthijs de Ligt

Ajax -> €67m -> Juventus

Juventus have increased their offer for Matthijs de Ligt to €67m but that’s still below Ajax’s asking price of €75m, according to De Telegraaf.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN: De Ligt as well as super agent Mino Raiola appear to be set on a move to Juventus. With Andrea Bargazli retired, the Dutchman will be competing with Leonardo Bonucci and Giorgio Chiellini for a starting role. He will no doubt eventually take over from the two aging centre-backs as the main figure in the back-line.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: If Liverpool decide they do want in, De Ligt could be tempted to join Virgil van Dijk at Anfield. Alternatively, United could get desperate and throw silly money at Ajax and Raiola for the youngster’s services. Ajax digging their heels in and refusing to sell if the asking price is not met remains a possibility too.

TRANSFER PREDICTOR: 8/10

JAMES RODRIGUEZ

James Rodriguez

Real Madrid -> €42m -> Napoli

James Rodriguez has his heart set on leaving Real Madrid for Napoli, according to Marca.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN: The primary reason for James wanting to join Napoli is the appointment of Carlo Ancelotti at the Serie A club. The Colombian has played his best football under the Italian be it at Madrid or while on loan with Bayern Munich. There aren’t many offers for the attacking midfielder at the moment and Real need to recuperate some of the money they splashed in this window.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: Napoli’s bid is well below Madrid’s valuation of the player and should they manage to offload another star like Gareth Bale, they may not be under any pressure to move James on for a lower fee.

TRANSFER PREDICTOR: 7/10

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