Transfer predictor: Romelu Lukaku to Inter Milan is an 8 while Real Madrid exit for Luka Modric a 6

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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season? We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why.

Today’s edition features potential signings for AC MilanInter Milan and Barcelona.

LUKA MODRIC

Luka Modric

Real Madrid -> Unknown -> AC Milan

AC Milan are set to pounce if Real Madrid decide to sell Luka Modric, according to Gianluca Di Marzio.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

If Zinedine Zidane is keen on extracting the full potential from the immense attacking talent at his disposal, he may need to tinker with his system. That’s always been easier said than done when trying to include both Toni Kroos and Modric. The Croat is four years older and after winning the Ballon d’Or last year, has been on the wane.

Madrid may be keen to cash in on the star midfielder while he’s still boasts a high value. Recuperating some of the money they’ve splurged this summer must be tempting while in Dani Ceballos they have a ready-made replacement should they decide to keep the sought-after Spaniard long-term.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

While reports have so far failed to included a speculated transfer fee, one would assume Modric will command a fee at least double that of his current valuation of €20 million according to transfermarkt.co.uk. Milan have already spent €48 million this summer and will be reluctant to sink too much on a 33-year-old whose wages – even reduced – would put a dent in their budget as well.

TRANSFER PREDICTOR: 6/10

ROMELU LUKAKU

Romelu Lukaku

Romelu Lukaku

Manchester United ->  £75m -> Inter Milan

Inter Milan will meet Manchester United’s £75 million valuation of Romelu Lukaku upon certain conditions including a £40 million down payment, The Sun says.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

It’s become evident that Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will not fight to keep Lukaku at Old Trafford as he’s given his full backing to Marcus Rashford, who appears more suited to the style of play being implemented. The Norwegian seems determined to afford Mason Greenwood more game time as well.

Lukaku has been harping on about moving to Serie A for months so all parties clearly want this move to be completed. United are holding out for the best deal and Inter are slowly edging towards that with Antonio Conte desperate to land the Belgian.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Inter simply don’t have the funds to make a straightforward deal. Beyond the £40 million down payment, they are reportedly also requesting £15 million to be paid as performance-based add-ons and that can’t be satisfactory for United.

TRANSFER PREDICTOR: 8/10

NEYMAR

Neymar

Neymar

PSG->  €40m + players -> Barcelona

Barcelona have offered a package centred around Ivan Rakitic and Philippe Coutinho as they look to sign Neymar, according to L’Equipe.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

At the moment, there’s really no other destination for Neymar. He’s burnt bridges with Paris Saint-Germain and will be desperate to return to Barcelona. The club will be keen to part ways with the Brazilian as well, especially with Kylian Mbappe clearly replacing him as their poster boy.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

PSG refuse to accept anything less than what they believe they’re entitled to. Allowing Adrien Rabiot’s contract to run down while he warmed the bench last season rather than let Barcelona have him was a prime example. Unless Ousmane Dembele becomes part of a player-plus-cash deal, the Catalans will need to raise their bid substantially.

TRANSFER PREDICTOR: 5/10

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