Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season?
We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.
We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why, or why not.
Today’s edition features the future of an imminent swap deal involving Juventus and Manchester…City, an England international with over 60 caps joining Crystal Palace and Paris Saint-Germain saying goodbye to a goalkeeper.
JOAO CANCELO
Juventus -> €30m plus player -> Manchester City
A swap deal involving Juventus full-back Cancelo and City’s Danilo will be completed on Monday, according to Goal.
WHY IT CAN HAPPEN: The 25-year-old was said to have endures a fraught relationship with Max Allegri last season and that seems to have converted to Maurizio Sarri, with reports in Italy frequently claiming Cancelo is behind Mattia De Sciglio on the Juve depth chart.
It would be a coup for City who would be comfortable switching the forward-thinking Portuguese full-back on either flank. The move makes perfect sense for Danilo who has failed to convince since moving to Manchester from Real Madrid.
WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: At initial glance it seems odd that Cancelo would make such a move, with Kyle Walker firmly established at right-back, while City have a number of options at left-back.
But his temperament and one or two injury issues meant he was never fully trusted by Allegri last season, so perhaps the Portuguese feels he’s simply in need of a change of scenery. It seems only a matter of time before this deal is confirmed.
Transfer predictor: 9/10
GARY CAHILL
Chelsea -> Free -> Crystal Palace
Palace are closing in on a deal for ex-Chelsea defender Cahill, reports The Sun.
WHY IT CAN HAPPEN: The former Chelsea centre-back is a free agent so makes huge sense for Palace, who have been very quiet in the transfer market this summer. Cahill, 33, is keen to stay near his family base in London and the Eagles need to add quality to a defence shorn of Aaron Wan-Bissaka.
WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: There are believed to be a number of clubs interested in the services of the 61-times capped England international – including London rivals Arsenal, while Cahill is also on Burnley’s radar.
The Clarets may be set to lose James Tarkowski who Leicester see as a potential Harry Maguire replacement.
Transfer predictor: 7/10
KEVIN TRAPP
Paris Saint-Germain -> €10m -> Eintracht Frankfurt
Trapp is back at PSG after spending last season on loan at the Bundesliga club, who are now hoping to land the German on a permanent basis, reports Le10Sport.
WHY IT CAN HAPPEN: Trapp, who made 43 appearances for Frankfurt last term, is already believed to have agreed personal terms with the side he spent three seasons with from 2012-15 over a five-year contract.
PSG have two options; sell this summer for a nominal fee or keep Trapp, although they would lose him for free at the end of his contract next summer.
WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: The main issue holding up any deal is Die Adler’s (the Eagles) refusal so far to meet the €10m asking price, although the two clubs are getting close.
PSG will want to hold out for something close to that, although the risk of losing Trapp for free next year may well prove to be in his former side’s favour.
Transfer predictor: 8/10
