Transfer Predictor: Gareth Bale to Bayern Munich just a 5 but Toby Alderweireld to Roma a 7

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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season?

We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why, or why not.

Today’s edition features a Real Madrid outcast, a promising French defender and a potential Kostas Manolas replacement at Roma.

GARETH BALE

0515 Bale Robben

Real Madrid -> Loan -> Bayern Munich

With the pursuit of Leroy Sane being complicated due to an injury and Ousmane Dembele being marked as ‘not for sale’, Bayern Munich could make a loan move for Real Madrid winger Gareth Bale according to AS.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN

Arjen Robben and Franck Ribery’s departure has left Bayern desperate to sign a winger. Sane is still the top priority, but the youngster suffered an injury in Manchester City’s Community Shield victory over Liverpool.

The transfer window closes on Thursday in England and it’s unlikely that the Premier League champions will let go of the player without signing a replacement.

Bale – who is not wanted by his club – should be the next logical option for the German giants. Madrid could face complications in the wage structure if Bale stays for the season and will hence be desperate to see him sold.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Bale and Madrid are firm on not entertaining any loan deals and want to confirm the exit of the player from the Santiago Bernabeu permanently.

On the other hand, Bayern have enquired specifically for a loan deal. This mismatch of interests could hinder the deal.

TRANSFER RATING: 5/10

DAYOT UPAMECANO

Upamecano

RB Leipzig -> £55 million -> Arsenal

Arsenal are interested in signing RB Leipzig centre-back Dayot Upamecano according to Bild. While Kierney Tierney is still a target in the full-back position, the Gunners are eager to strengthen the centre of defence and have turned to the Frenchman after Juventus ruled out a move for Daniele Rugani.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN

The centre-back position is still a priority for the Gunners, with new-signing William Saliba returning to St Etienne on loan and Laurent Koscielny also departing the club.

Upamecano seems to be a fair option for the Gunners, given the pallid back-line requires a gush of young blood. Arsenal’s defence is still far from solid and the 20-year-old could turn out to be a great purchase in the long run.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Leipzig have reportedly rejected a £55 million bid from Arsenal and have set a price of £70m. This could be well and truly beyond the budget of the Premier League side. They managed to land Lille winger Nicolas Pepe for £72m but have agreed to pay the sum in installments.

It’s unlikely that Arsenal will spend a similar amount in the same window.

TRANSFER RATING: 6/10

TOBY ALDERWEIRELD

Toby Alderweireld

Tottenham -> £18.3 million -> Roma

Out of favour Spurs centre-back Toby Alderweireld could be headed to Rome one year before the expiry of his contract according to Gazzetta dello Sport. Roma have reportedly had an £18.3 million bid rejected but are well-poised to get their man.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN

Alderweireld’s future at the North London club has become uncertain after he was dismissed in the pecking order, with Davinson Sanchez earning a starter’s spot.

Spurs can’t afford to play hard-ball, with the risk of losing the player for free next season. Roma are favourites to land the Belgium international after losing Kostas Manolas to Napoli.

WHY IT CAN’T HAPPEN

Spurs are adamant on the £23m price tag they have set for Alderweireld and Roma are not willing to shell out the additional £4.7m. Also, there are no reports of a personal agreement between Roma and the 30-year-old.

TRANSFER RATING 7/10

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Transfer Predictor: Joao Cancelo's switch from Juventus to Man City appears imminent

Matt Jones 5/08/2019
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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season?

We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why, or why not.

Today’s edition features the future of an imminent swap deal involving Juventus and Manchester…City, an England international with over 60 caps joining Crystal Palace and Paris Saint-Germain saying goodbye to a goalkeeper.

JOAO CANCELO

Cancelo

Juventus -> €30m plus player -> Manchester City

A swap deal involving Juventus full-back Cancelo and City’s Danilo will be completed on Monday, according to Goal.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN: The 25-year-old was said to have endures a fraught relationship with Max Allegri last season and that seems to have converted to Maurizio Sarri, with reports in Italy frequently claiming Cancelo is behind Mattia De Sciglio on the Juve depth chart.

It would be a coup for City who would be comfortable switching the forward-thinking Portuguese full-back on either flank. The move makes perfect sense for Danilo who has failed to convince since moving to Manchester from Real Madrid.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: At initial glance it seems odd that Cancelo would make such a move, with Kyle Walker firmly established at right-back, while City have a number of options at left-back.

But his temperament and one or two injury issues meant he was never fully trusted by Allegri last season, so perhaps the Portuguese feels he’s simply in need of a change of scenery. It seems only a matter of time before this deal is confirmed.

Transfer predictor: 9/10

GARY CAHILL

Gary Cahill

Chelsea -> Free -> Crystal Palace

Palace are closing in on a deal for ex-Chelsea defender Cahill, reports The Sun.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN: The former Chelsea centre-back is a free agent so makes huge sense for Palace, who have been very quiet in the transfer market this summer. Cahill, 33, is keen to stay near his family base in London and the Eagles need to add quality to a defence shorn of Aaron Wan-Bissaka.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: There are believed to be a number of clubs interested in the services of the 61-times capped England international – including London rivals Arsenal, while Cahill is also on Burnley’s radar.

The Clarets may be set to lose James Tarkowski who Leicester see as a potential Harry Maguire replacement.

Transfer predictor: 7/10

KEVIN TRAPP

Kevin Trapp

Paris Saint-Germain -> €10m -> Eintracht Frankfurt

Trapp is back at PSG after spending last season on loan at the Bundesliga club, who are now hoping to land the German on a permanent basis, reports Le10Sport.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN: Trapp, who made 43 appearances for Frankfurt last term, is already believed to have agreed personal terms with the side he spent three seasons with from 2012-15 over a five-year contract.

PSG have two options; sell this summer for a nominal fee or keep Trapp, although they would lose him for free at the end of his contract next summer.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: The main issue holding up any deal is Die Adler’s (the Eagles) refusal so far to meet the €10m asking price, although the two clubs are getting close.

PSG will want to hold out for something close to that, although the risk of losing Trapp for free next year may well prove to be in his former side’s favour.

Transfer predictor: 8/10

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Inter Milan boss Antonio Conte still confident of landing Romelu Lukaku

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Inter Milan boss Antonio Conte is hopeful of finalising a deal for Manchester United striker Romelu Lukaku in the coming days.

The Italian club have been chasing Lukaku all summer and have reportedly returned with a fresh bid of around £65million as they try and get the deal over the line.

They have until September 1 to sign the Belgium striker, who has not played a single minute of United’s pre-season campaign, and Conte is hopeful of bringing the 26-year-old to the San Siro.

“We continue to work on it in the best possible way,” he said after his side drew 1-1 at Tottenham in a pre-season friendly.

“I understand there are some gaps that need to be filled but at the moment I am very hopeful that this will happen.

“At the same time I’m working with a great group of players that gives me lots of satisfaction.”

A complication to Inter’s chase of the former Everton striker is a reported swap deal between United and Juventus that could see Argentina attacker Paul Dybala move to Old Trafford in exchange for Lukaku.

“Honestly I can’t know, I don’t know,” the former Chelsea boss added. “I’m reading (about) this swap in the papers.

“For sure Lukaku, we are talking about a good player, a striker that in the past I tried to buy when I was Chelsea’s coach.

“We’re talking about two big clubs, Juventus and Inter Milan, but honestly I don’t know. Only my way is to work with this group of players, to try to improve this group and instil the right mentality.”

Provided by PA Media

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