Transfer Predictor: Ivan Rakitic to Juventus is a 4, Luka Jovic to AC Milan a 2

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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season?

We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why, or why not.

Today’s edition features activity involving Juventus, Chelsea and Real Madrid:

IVAN RAKITIC

BeFunky-collage

Barcelona -> Exchange -> Juventus

Juventus have proposed an exchange deal with Barcelona that will see them land Croatia midfielder Ivan Rakitic and Germany’s Emre Can head the other way, according to Tuttosport.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

Liquid cash is in short supply for both giants after extensive summer investments, but a desire to improve their squads remain before September 2’s deadline. This is why Juve sporting director Fabio Paretici made the proposal on Monday – with both footballers also refusing to rule it out. Barca have declined to improve Rakitic’s contract, despite five years of stellar service. The Croatian’s quality will appeal to Juve, who continue to desire refinement in midfield. Can failed to make any impact in 2018/19’s debut campaign, but his stock remains relatively high after excelling at Liverpool.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

There are so many moving parts. Finding a mutual agreement on valuations of the two midfielders will require extensive negotiation, never mind then agreeing personal terms etc. Rakitic is also continually linked with becoming a makeweight in a part-exchange deal to bring Brazil superstar Neymar back to Barca from Paris Saint-Germain. He’s also regularly voiced his contentment about life in Spain. Can may also want another season in Turin to showcase his true quality.

TRANSFER RATING: 4/10

LUKA JOVIC

BeFunky-collage (1)

Real Madrid -> Loan -> AC Milan

AC Milan are prepared to change strategy and pursue a bold loan move for Real Madrid new boy Luka Jovic, according to Gazzetta dello Sport.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

Rumours persist that Jovic has failed to impress Los Blancos head coach Zinedine Zidane, despite only joining from Eintracht Frankfurt for €60 million in June. This once-unlikely scenario could gain further traction if Neymar is extracted from PSG before the close of the market. Milan’s failure to strike a permanent deal for Atletico Madrid forward Correa has put a loan operation on the table for Jovic.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Jovic has been emphatic in his dismissal of exit rumours, telling Serbian publication Novosti after Saturday’s competitive debut off the substitutes’ bench at Celta Vigo that: “I laughed at those reports.” The freshness of his arrival at Santiago Bernabeu and Milan’s failure to compete in the Champions League make this move a distinct long shot, at present.

TRANSFER RATING: 2/10

TIEMOUE BAKAYOKO

BeFunky-collage (2)

Chelsea -> Loan -> Monaco

Monaco are facing a tough task in convincing Chelsea to sign off a loan return for defensive midfielder Bakayoko, according to RMC Sport.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

Bakayoko has proven a disaster since a £40 million move was agreed from Monaco in August 2017. A repeat arrangement of 2018/19’s temporary stint at AC Milan is on the cards again after he did not feature in any competitive match-day squads under new boss Frank Lampard. Bakayoko is eager to return to Monaco, where he’ll experience a familiar environment and plenty of opportunity to play. It could bring out the best in him, once again.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Chelsea are reluctant to sign off the arrangement as they are not convinced Monaco is the best showcase for Bakayoko’s talents. They want to recoup their spend and cannot see how this scenario will play out at Monaco. This provides opportunity for other suitors.

TRANSFER RATING: 6/10

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Borussia Dortmund reward Jadon Sancho with lucrative wage increase amid Man United interest

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Jadon Sancho

England winger Jadon Sancho’s wages have been doubled to £80,000 per week by Borussia Dortmund as the Bundesliga side try to fend off Manchester United’s interest, Germany’s Bild says.

The 19-year-old youth player with Watford and Manchester City signed with Dortmund in 2017 and had rebuffed Ole Gunnar Solskjaer because the Red Devils could not offer him Champions League football this season.

Danish Superliga’s Nordsjaelland have made Liverpool an offer for talented young striker Bobby Duncan, the Daily Mail reports.

The 18-year-old was included in Reds manager Jurgen Klopp’s pre-season plans.

But the Danish club have offered him regular football and are willing to pay his wages in full for the upcoming season.

Duncan, who is Steven Gerrard’s cousin, scored 32 goals for the Liverpool academy last year following his arrival from Manchester City the season before.

Tottenham midfielder Victor Wanyama, 28, could be jumping across the Channel after West Ham failed to sign him before the closure of the English transfer window.

Belgian side Bruges are considering securing the £18million-rated Kenya international before the European window shuts on September 2, the Daily Express says.

Southampton midfielder Mario Lemina, 25, is heading to Monaco on a season-long loan with an option for the Ligue 1 outfit to later buy him, according to Radio Monte Carlo.

The Gabonese player signed for Saints for a club-record fee of £15.4million two years ago from Juventus. Monaco represents a homecoming of sorts for Lemina who got his start in France at Lorient before moving to Marseille.

The Manchester Evening News, citing Turkish media outlet A Spor, says Fenerbahce are interested in signing 29-year-old Manchester United defender Marcos Rojo.

A Spor says the Turkish Super Lig team are “closing in” on a loan deal for the Argentina international, who was blocked from moving to Everton because the Toffees are an outside bet to finish above the Red Devils in the Premier League.

Players to watch

Eduardo Camavinga: Arsenal, Tottenham and Manchester City are interested in the 16-year-old after the midfielder helped Rennes to a 2-1 win over Ligue 1 champions PSG on Sunday night, according to the Daily Mail.

Alberto Redondo: The 22-year-old Spanish left-back has been linked with a move to Birmingham after Getafe released him at the end of last season, the Birmingham Mail reports while citing Footmercato.

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Transfer Predictor: Paulo Dybala plus €100m for Neymar gets a 4, Arsenal offloading Shkodran Mustafi a 7

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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season?

We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why, or why not.

Today’s edition features activity involving Paris Saint-GermainJuventus and Arsenal.

NEYMAR

Neymar

Neymar

Paris Saint-Germain -> €100m + Dybala -> Juventus

Spanish paper AS claim in their online edition that Juve are offering Paulo Dybala plus €100m.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

Negotiations with Barcelona and Real Madrid for Neymar have been difficult with both clubs already spending big in the summer before the Brazilian became available. Juventus may have a chance of swooping in with Dybala as a makeweight in a player plus cash deal. Thomas Tuchel made it clear that PSG will not let Neymar leave without a replacement and the Argentine forward would be a fine one.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Dybala is reluctant to leave Juventus and will make huge demands regarding wages and image rights as he did with Manchester United. PSG are unlikely to indulge him. Even then, €100m may not be enough as Dybala is only valued between €80 and €100m, making the offer at least €20m short. To raise the funds, Juve reportedly have to act quickly to sell Mario Mandzukic, Blaise Matuidi and Daniele Rugani. There are too many moving parts here.

TRANSFER RATING: 4/10

FRANCK RIBERY

Franck Ribery

Franck Ribery

Unattached -> Free -> Fiorentina

Das Bild [H/T Football Italia] claim Franck Ribery had turned down Al Nasr and opted to join Fiorentina instead.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

Going by his final appearance for Bayern Munich when he scored a sublime individual goal, Ribery still has plenty to offer in Europe. Fiorentina sporting director Daniele Prade and coach Vincenzo Montella have both welcomed the possibility of landing the Frenchman. Ribery would bring some much needed experience and quality to the forward line as La Viola look to improve following a season during which they flirted with relegation.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Reports suggest that Ribery has been fielding several offers and a better one may well come along.

TRANSFER RATING: 7/10

SHKODRAN MUSTAFI

Mustafi

Arsenal -> Loan -> Roma

Arsenal defender Shkodran Mustafi is set to leave the club on loan to Serie A side Roma, according to Gazzetta dello Sport contributor Forza Roma.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

Following the arrival of David Luiz, Unai Emery must be keen to offload the error-prone centre-back. Mustafi is unlikely to be afforded much playing time at the Emirates this season with the likes of Callum Chambers and Rob Holding expected to deputise for the first-choice pairing of Luiz and Sokratis. Roma could do with more cover for Juan and Federico Fazio.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Wages may be an issue for the Italian outfit and if Arsenal are having to pay a significant part of it, they may decide to keep him in north London. Roma seem agreeable to the deal but aren’t wholly enthusiastic.

TRANSFER RATING 7/10

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