Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season?
We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.
We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgement on whether the move really will happen – and why, or why not.
Today’s edition features Real Madrid, Manchester United and Bayern Munich:
Real Madrid -> €20m -> Paris Saint-Germain
Los Blancos have accepted their No2’s desire to leave and PSG want to bolster their Champions League ambitions with his signature, according to Marca.
Why it will happen: Navas was head coach Zinedine Zidane’s trusted goalkeeper in his first reign in charge. This status, however, is no more second time around thanks to the introduction of Belgium’s Thibaut Courtois. Navas’ ability remains unquestioned and his pedigree as a three-times UCL winner makes him a solid pick for PSG. With lines of communication open between the clubs for Neymar, a deal seems inevitable before September 2’s transfer cut-off.
Why it won’t happen: A deal was arranged between the sides last summer, only for PSG to eventually baulk at the €20m price tag. The evolving Neymar situation could provide more twists and turns for numerous deals – including Navas.
Transfer Predictor: 8/10
Unattached -> Free -> Manchester United
The Red Devils remain uninterested in the veteran Spain striker and will not move for him even if Alexis Sanchez departs for Inter Milan, according to the Daily Mail.
Why it will happen: Reports in Italy – where Llorente previously played with Juventus – had stated that a two-year deal had been agreed to take the statuesque centre forward to Old Trafford. His status as a free agent means that Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men can still snap the former Tottenham Hotspur man up, even though the English transfer window closed a fortnight ago. A few adverse results or injuries to United’s slim attacking pool may see interest registered.
Why it won’t happen: At 34-years old, Llorente is the antithesis of United’s current transfer policy. Short-term options are being eschewed after several high-profile failures – one of which is Sanchez. Negotiations are also tense between United and Inter about the share of the Chile forward’s wages during his loan, meaning a stay is likely at present. This would further negate the need for Llorente.
Transfer Predictor: 2/10
Bayern Munich -> €25m -> Lille
Sanches’ nightmare stint in the Bundesliga will be brought to a permanent end by Lille if initial talks reach a positive conclusion, according to L’Equipe.
Why it will happen: Sanches’ miserable stint at Bavaria took a downturn this week. An interview with Sport1 in which the 22-year-old complained about his lack of minutes and stated a desire to leave caused a €10,000 fine. This has opened up opportunity for Lille to swoop for a midfielder who, don’t forget, was named Young Player of the Tournament at Euro 2016 and cost Bayern an initial €35m. Fellow Portuguese Luis Campos is sporting director at Lille, with his sharp mind likely spotting a potential bargain.
Why it won’t happen: There is a significant element of risk about this deal for Lille. Sanches has lost his spark since breaking through at Benfica. A loan deal to Swansea City for 2017/18 was an unmitigated disaster and he contributed precious little as they slipped out of the Premier League. Wages may also be a factor.
Transfer Predictor: 9/10
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