Transfer Predictor: Keylor Navas to PSG is an 8, Fernando Llorente to Man United a 2

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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season?

We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgement on whether the move really will happen – and why, or why not.

Today’s edition features Real Madrid, Manchester United and Bayern Munich:

KEYLOR NAVAS

BeFunky-collage (2)

Real Madrid -> €20m -> Paris Saint-Germain

Los Blancos have accepted their No2’s desire to leave and PSG want to bolster their Champions League ambitions with his signature, according to Marca.

Why it will happen: Navas was head coach Zinedine Zidane’s trusted goalkeeper in his first reign in charge. This status, however, is no more second time around thanks to the introduction of Belgium’s Thibaut Courtois. Navas’ ability remains unquestioned and his pedigree as a three-times UCL winner makes him a solid pick for PSG. With lines of communication open between the clubs for Neymar, a deal seems inevitable before September 2’s transfer cut-off.

Why it won’t happen: A deal was arranged between the sides last summer, only for PSG to eventually baulk at the €20m price tag. The evolving Neymar situation could provide more twists and turns for numerous deals – including Navas.

Transfer Predictor: 8/10

FERNANDO LLORENTE

BeFunky-collage

Unattached -> Free -> Manchester United

The Red Devils remain uninterested in the veteran Spain striker and will not move for him even if Alexis Sanchez departs for Inter Milan, according to the Daily Mail.

Why it will happen: Reports in Italy – where Llorente previously played with Juventus – had stated that a two-year deal had been agreed to take the statuesque centre forward to Old Trafford. His status as a free agent means that Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men can still snap the former Tottenham Hotspur man up, even though the English transfer window closed a fortnight ago. A few adverse results or injuries to United’s slim attacking pool may see interest registered.

Why it won’t happen: At 34-years old, Llorente is the antithesis of United’s current transfer policy. Short-term options are being eschewed after several high-profile failures – one of which is Sanchez. Negotiations are also tense between United and Inter about the share of the Chile forward’s wages during his loan, meaning a stay is likely at present. This would further negate the need for Llorente.

Transfer Predictor: 2/10

RENATO SANCHES

BeFunky-collage (3)

Bayern Munich -> €25m -> Lille

Sanches’ nightmare stint in the Bundesliga will be brought to a permanent end by Lille if initial talks reach a positive conclusion, according to L’Equipe.

Why it will happen: Sanches’ miserable stint at Bavaria took a downturn this week. An interview with Sport1 in which the 22-year-old complained about his lack of minutes and stated a desire to leave caused a €10,000 fine. This has opened up opportunity for Lille to swoop for a midfielder who, don’t forget, was named Young Player of the Tournament at Euro 2016 and cost Bayern an initial €35m. Fellow Portuguese Luis Campos is sporting director at Lille, with his sharp mind likely spotting a potential bargain.

Why it won’t happen: There is a significant element of risk about this deal for Lille. Sanches has lost his spark since breaking through at Benfica. A loan deal to Swansea City for 2017/18 was an unmitigated disaster and he contributed precious little as they slipped out of the Premier League. Wages may also be a factor.

Transfer Predictor: 9/10

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PSG reject Real Madrid's Neymar bid of €100m plus Gareth Bale, James Rodriguez and Keylor Navas

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What the papers say

Huge offers from Spanish giants Barcelona and Real Madrid to lure Brazil forward Neymar from Paris St Germain have fallen on deaf ears. Barca’s first bid for a loan move with a 150million euros (£137million) option to buy the 27-year-old has been rejected, with PSG wanting 250m euros (£229m), according to Marca. And L’Equipe reports PSG have turned down a big offer from Real of 100m euros (£91.4m) plus three players – Gareth Bale, James Rodriguez and goalkeeper Keylor Navas.

Marca also reports that Navas has handed in a transfer request. Meanwhile, Juventus are poised to try to poach striker Luis Suarez from Barca should the Catalan club land Neymar, The Sun reports.

Chelsea are set to stave off Bayern Munich’s advances towards Callum Hudson-Odoi by tying down the exciting young winger with a five-year deal worth £200,000 a week, according to The Sun. Bayern have had transfer bids of up to £35million for the England star turned down, with Chelsea poised to sign him to a contract worth £52million through to 2024.

Manchester United are keen to sign Borussia Dortmund’s England international winger Jadon Sancho in the January transfer window. The Sun reports United are preparing a £100m bid for the 19-year-old.

United face a whopping payout of £36million if Alexis Sanchez completes a permanent move to Inter Milan, the Mirror reports. Sanchez’s current deal with United – running till 2022 – brings the Chile international £500,000 a week. With Inter willing to pay him only £150,000 a week, making up the shortfall will cost the Old Trafford club the £36million figure to be rid of the 30-year-old.

Social media round-up

Players to watch

Kai Havertz: Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal and Chelsea are some of the major European clubs interested in signing the 20-year-old, who is valued at £91m, from Bayer Leverkusen, according to German TV station Sport1.

Thiago Almada: The 18-year-old midfielder from Argentina’s Velez Sarsfield is yet to re-sign with his club, and Manchester United are eyeing him off, according to Portuguese website A Bola, via the Manchester Evening News.

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Transfer Predictor: Bruno Fernandes an option for Real Madrid if they fail to land Neymar or Paul Pogba

David Cooper 22/08/2019
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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season?

We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgement on whether the move really will happen – and why, or why not.

Today’s edition features a new destination for one of the summer’s most talked about players, A switch to France for a Premier League misfit and pastures new for a Liverpool youngster.

BRUNO FERNANDES

Bruno Fernandes

Sporting Lisbon -> €70m -> Real Madrid

AS reports that the Portuguese club are looking to offload the 24-year-old while his value is high.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN: Fernandes scored 32 goals in 53 games last season and was the top-scoring midfielder in any of the major European leagues. Was linked incessantly with Manchester United and Tottenham throughout the summer but, after rejecting a Spurs bid of €60 million, he has now been offered to Madrid through super agent Jorge Mendes.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: Los Blancos have other priorities, namely Neymar and Paul Pogba. So his arrival at the Bernabeu will depend on what happens in negotiations with Paris Saint-Germain and United over the two megastars.

Transfer predictor: 5/10

MARIO LEMINA

mario lemina

Southampton -> Loan to buy -> Monaco

Monaco are close to completing a loan move for Southampton midfielder Mario Lemina, according to RMC via Get French Football News.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN: The French giants are said to be in advanced negotiations to sign the Gabonese international midfielder on loan with an obligation to buy from Southampton. The player is already believed to have spoken with boss Leonardo Jardim and agreed personal terms with the Principality side, and is actively pushing for the deal to go through.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: This deal makes sense for both parties. Lemina wants to move on and he doesn’t appear to be in Saints boss Ralph Hasenhuttl’s plans. However, while the player has agreed terms with his prospective new employers, Southampton and Monaco are yet to come to terms.

Transfer predictor: 8/10

RYAN KENT

Kent

Liverpool -> £7m -> Rangers

Rangers are still hopeful of competing a deal with Liverpool to sign winger Ryan Kent, reports the Daily Record.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN: The winger is out of the reckoning at Anfield after a season-long loan deal in Scotland in which he was crowned SPFA young player of the year. Kent wants to help the Light Blues in their quest for a long-awaited top flight title and feels he has unfinished business in Scotland under Gers boss Steven Gerrard.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN: With three years left on his contract and Liverpool asking for £7million it looked like Rangers were out of the reckoning earlier this summer. The Ibrox side can’t match Liverpool’s asking price this summer but remain confident of engineering a deal.

Transfer predictor: 7/10

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