Transfer Predictor: Neymar to Barcelona is a 6, Fred to Fiorentina 7

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Struggling to pick out the facts from the figures? Reality from the rubbish? Sense from the silly season?

We’ve got you sorted in our daily dose of the Transfer Predictor, where we round up the latest rumours with an analytical spin.

We sort through the most eye-catching transfer reports of the past 24 hours and give a balanced judgment on whether the move really will happen – and why, or why not.

Today’s edition features a Paris Saint-Germain star (guess who), a Manchester United outcast and a crucial element of Borussia Dortmund.

NEYMAR

neymar 123

PSG -> Ousmane Dembele plus cash-> Barcelona

Several Spanish publications including RAC1 and Sport have claimed that Barcelona will make what could be their final offer for PSG star Neymar. It is reported that either a loan with an obligation to buy for €170 million, a larger sum to be paid over two seasons or a reduced fee in addition to Ousmane Dembele moving the other way could be offered.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN

Barcelona are relentless in their pursuit for Neymar and when the Spanish giants want a player, they usually get him. Philippe Coutinho, Dembele and Antoine Griezmann serve as examples.

It seems highly improbable that the Brazilian will stay at the French club and his desire to return to Spain is no secret.

Dembele was a monster under Thomas Tuchel and if he is added to the deal, PSG should be motivated to go ahead with it.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Barcelona have always been patient with the currently injured Dembele and have reiterated several times that he will stay at Camp Nou. It’s surprising that they are willing to offload the Frenchman in the first place. Also, PSG have reportedly made clear several times that they prefer a cash payment close to the amount they paid for him (€222m). Barcelona are not eager, or perhaps capable, of spending that kind of money.

TRANSFER RATING: 6/10

FRED

FredManUnitedCity (1)

Manchester United -> €37m -> Fiorentina

Manchester United flop Fred could be shipped to Serie A side Fiorentina side for a €22m loss according to calciomercato.

WHY IT CAN HAPPEN

Fred is beginning to look like deadwood at the Premier League side, having not even been named among the subs’ bench in 2018/19 thus far. It’s no surprise that United are desperate to offload him, taking a loss in the process. Fiorentina have lost players in the centre of the pitch and need a midfielder who has a wide passing range and top-tier experience.

With Franck Ribery arriving at the club on a free, now could be the time for the Serie A side to invest heavily and produce a competitive squad as they look to challenge for a European spot.

WHY IT WON’T HAPPEN

Despite the desperation, United should be in no hurry to sell Fred, given his contract runs till 2023 and they should be able to get a good price next summer too. The Red Devils are in a position to hold out until a better offer arrives – and has he truly been given a fair run-out so far, having only spent a season in Manchester?

TRANSFER RATING: 7/10

RAPHAEL GUERREIRO

Borussia Dortmund -> Free transfer -> PSG

Guerreiro

The Borussia Dortmund left-back could move to PSG at the end of his contract next summer according to Bild.

WHY IT WILL HAPPEN

Guerreiro has reportedly not yet accepted a new contract from Dortmund, despite the increased salary. It is believed that he is waiting for PSG to make an offer when his current deal expires.

He will be allowed to sign a pre-contract in January and since Dortmund will have no say in the negotiations, this deal will be facing very few complications.

WHY IT CAN’T HAPPEN

Guerreiro is an important member of the team that Dortmund can’t afford to lose. The German side made a statement with quality signings over the summer and will make it a priority to tie the core down for a long time. They should be able to make an offer the left-back will find hard to turn down.

TRANSFER RATING: 6/10

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Real Sociedad close in on deal for Arsenal defender Nacho Monreal

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Nacho Monreal‘s future at Arsenal is in question with La Liga side Real Sociedad thinking they are close to a deal, reports the Daily Mirror.

The 33-year-old has been offered a two-year contract by Sociedad and the Spanish left-back may be tempted to return to his homeland as the Gunners have two left-backs – Kieran Tierney and Sead Kolasinac – on their books.

Doubt still remains over Spurs playmaker Christian Eriksen, with the Daily Mail reporting neither Real Madrid or Barcelona have made offers for the Dane while the Daily Mirror reports he has been left in limbo following a contract stand-off with Tottenham.

Chelsea are looking to put off any potential bidders for striker Tammy Abraham by offering the 21-year-old a new contract which would double his current £50,000-a-week wages, the Daily Telegraph says.

Manchester United midfielder Nemanja Matic is looking to discuss his future at Old Trafford after the Serbia international lost his first-team place under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, reports the Daily Mirror.

A number of European clubs could be interested in the 31-year-old, the paper adds.

Meanwhile, Alexis Sanchez‘s potential move away from United may grind to a halt, with the club wanting to discover the extent of the injury suffered by Anthony Martial before allowing the Chile international to head to Inter Milan on loan, reports the Guardian.

Provides by Press Association Sport

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Premier League: Eriksen and other stars who could leave before the transfer window shuts

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Tottenham's Christian Eriksen could be on the way out.

While the Premier League transfer window closed before the start of the new season, most European teams can continue their summer spending until September 2.

That means a number of players in England could still be lured away to the continent in the coming days.

Here, the PA news agency looks at who may well find themselves turning out for a different club next month.

Alexis Sanchez

alexis sanchez

The Chile international could never had imagined how badly his career could wane after moving to Manchester United. Sanchez, 30, left Arsenal for Old Trafford in January 2018 but poor form and niggling injuries have seen him score only three Premier League goals.

Inter Milan have been linked with a move and United boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has conceded Sanchez could leave for Italy if the right offer is made.

Christian Eriksen

Eriksen

Real Madrid have been long-term suitors of the Tottenham midfielder and boss Mauricio Pochettino admits he does not know if Eriksen will play for the club again. The 27-year-old is out of contract next summer and could walk away for nothing – with Madrid seemingly ready to pay to get him through the door now.

Eriksen was on the bench for Sunday’s surprise home defeat to Newcastle and came on for what could prove to be the last of his 280 appearances for a side he joined in 2009.

Paul Pogba

pogba 12

A summer move away from Manchester United looked a near certainty for France midfielder Pogba. He did little to dampen speculation as it seemed he was destined to leave the club for a second time as the likes of Real Madrid and former club Juventus were linked with his signature.

But Pogba started the season in Solskjaer’s side – missing a penalty in a recent draw at Wolves – and it seems like that is where he will stay for now, barring any late drama.

Tiemoue Bakayoko

Tiemoue Bakayoko looks on

Signed from Monaco in the summer of 2017, Bakayoko’s Chelsea career has certainly not gone to plan. The midfielder struggled for form in his first campaign in England before being shipped out on loan to AC Milan last season.

Now the 25-year-old looks set to land a similar move away from Stamford Bridge, with former club Monaco reportedly in the driving seat to sign Bakayoko on a temporary deal.

Shkodran Mustafi

Mustafi

Mustafi remains Arsenal fifth-most expensive player of all time and holds the record for the most money the Gunners have ever invested in a defender. But the German has never won over the majority of Arsenal supporters with performances laced with mistakes and uncertainty.

The late signing of David Luiz from Chelsea now means an exit is likely, especially given he has yet to feature for Arsenal this season and head coach Unai Emery has publicly told Mustafi to seek out a move.

Provided by Press Association Sports

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