UFC 205: Our big fight predictions

Alex Rea 12/11/2016

The UFC makes its debut in New York City on Monday morning as featherweight champ Conor McGregor looks to become the first simultaneous multi-division UFC champ when he takes on lightweight king Eddie Alvarez.

The card is stacked from top to bottom with three title fights heading up a five-fight main card bonanza.

Our MMA reporter Alex Rea makes his predictions for all five of the main card clashes.

EDDIE ALVAREZ vs CONOR McGREGOR

WINNER: McGregor

METHOD OF VICTORY: Second round KO

VERDICT: Eddie Alvarez’s style of wrestling is to back his opponents up against the cage and try to smother them to the ground but Conor McGregor has shown in the past his takedown defence is legit. In open space, the Irishman has the reach advantage and he’s incredibly accurate, a danger for a fighter who gets hit often.

TYRON WOODLEY vs STEPHEN THOMPSON

WINNER: Woodley

METHOD OF VICTORY: First round KO

VERDICT: Tyron Woodley comes into this as an underdog. That’s a position all-too familiar for him but don’t sleep on the welterweight champ. Yes, Stephen Thompson is one of the most unpredictable strikers in MMA – he’s more akin to a power ranger – but Woodley’s ability to burst into life and unleash his right-hand is deadly.

JOANNA JEDREJCZYK vs KAROLINA KOWALKIEWICZ

WINNER: Jedrzejczyk

METHOD OF VICTORY: Unanimous decision

VERDICT: In the battle between Poland’s best MMA fighters, Jedrzejczyk should come out on top. She has switched training camps, moving to American Top Team, so there are the question marks over that but the strawweight champ is arguably the best striker in MMA and will prove too much for an inexperienced Kowalkiewicz.

CHRIS WEIDMAN vs YOEL ROMERO 

WINNER: Romero

METHOD OF VICTORY: Second round KO

VERDICT: Possibly the hardest fight on the entire card to predict. Yoel Romero is a physical specimen. He’s built like a Hummer and gets the same depleted milage but the Cuban is efficient and has dynamite in his left-hand. Weidman has more ways to win and pressures incessantly but that left-hand is just too dangerous.

MIESHA TATE vs RAQUEL PENNINGTON

WINNER: Tate

METHOD OF VICTORY: Unanimous decision

VERDICT: A tough one to call because both Miesha Tate and Raquel Pennington are similar fighters. They’re both durable and crafty but Tate is vastly more

experienced and should grind it out. However, it depends on which version of the former bantamweight champ turns up after losing the belt to Amanda Nunes in July.

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UFC 205: Woodley relishing being the underdog

Alex Rea 12/11/2016
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Warring welterweights: Tyron Woodley and Stephen Thompson (r).

Tyron Woodley may well be the welterweight champion when he makes his way to the Octagon in the co-main event of UFC 205 – but that doesn’t make him the favourite.

As was the case when he took the belt from Robbie Lawler with a sensational first-round knockout at UFC 201, the 34-year-old is the underdog as he faces top contender Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson.

The challenger is riding a seven-fight win streak, which includes the scalps of former champ Johny Hendricks and Rory MacDonald, and is widely regarded as the best striker in MMA having entered the sport with a kickboxing record as clean as his persona (57-0.) Indeed, many have been quick to write off Woodley’s chances, but the champion, who needed the towel but weighed in at 169.8lbs with Thompson tipping the scales 169lbs, is relishing playing a familiar role.

“I like being the underdog,” Woodley said ahead of the clash. “I think my last five or six fights I’ve been the underdog, and I’ve only lost one. In general, statistically showing, I do well as the underdog.

“Thompson will be knocked out stiff at UFC 205. I will have the most memorable performance on the card.”

Thompson, though, would agree with the notion he is the favourite heading into the clash and the 33-year-old expects to exit the
Octagon with the 170lbs belt in toe.

“Every time I visualise this fight (and) I don’t like to make predictions; I will go five rounds, but every time I visualise this fight I get the belt wrapped around my waist and get my hand raised,” Thompson said.

One champion who will be a heavy favourite in Madison Square Garden, though, is Joanna Jedrzejczyk (114.4lbs). The undefeated women’s strawweight queen faces Polish compatriot Karolina Kowalkiewicz (114.4lbs) as she looks to make a fourth defence of her crown.

Jedrzejczyk, the pound-for-pound best female MMA fighter on the planet, relocated to Florida in preparation for the bout as she switched training camps to join the renowned American Top Team.

However, she doesn’t anticipate the shake-up will have any side effects come tomorrow.

“I feel a better fighter,” she said. “I’m very happy, I’ve done an amazing job with American Top Team. I feel really good.

“My mind is open, I feel free, coming there was the best decision of my life and I hope I’m going to prove that against Karolina.”

Familiar foe: Joanna Jedrzejczyk and Karolina Kowalkiewicz.

Familiar foe: Joanna Jedrzejczyk and Karolina Kowalkiewicz.

Elsewhere, hometown favourite Chris Weidman (185.8lbs) meets Yoel Romero (185.6lbs) in a middleweight clash with title implications.

Former champ Weidman is fighting for the first time since he surrendered the belt to Luke Rockhold last December – who then lost it to current title holder Michael Bisping – having undergone neck surgery. Romero has had the same time away from the Octagon but due to a failed drugs test which saw him banned for six months.

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UFC 205: McGregor aiming to KO Alvarez in one

Alex Rea 12/11/2016
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Ready to roar: Conor McGregor.

Peel back the illusion of reckless abandonment and there is a degree of calculation to Conor McGregor.

Before the UFC 205 pre-fight press conference predictably descended into chaos, the Irishman swanned into the Madison Square Garden rocking a mink coat and an array of garish Gucci garments.

Initially, the 28-year-old looked deranged, bouncing over to snatch Eddie Alvarez’s (154.6lbs) lightweight belt, which the champ had deserted with McGregor late to the show again, to place it next to his own featherweight strap before screaming obscenities.

Then, it became clear McGregor (154.4lbs) was in fact paying tribute to an MSG icon: Smokin’ Joe Frazier. The heavyweight legend bought a mink coat and wore similar clothing underneath for his trip to The Garden ahead of the 1974 ‘Fight of the Century’ clash with Muhammad Ali.


It was an evocative nod to an icon and came a day after he turned up for media interviews donning a Coogi sweater, in homage to Biggie Smalls, and a few months on since he dressed like El Chapo at a time when the Mexican drug lord was the talk of world media.








He knows how to sell it. But ahead of his bid to become the first simultaneous two-divisional UFC champ at the promotion’s first visit to New York, perhaps he overdid it this time.


The theatre and melodrama of the divisive Irishman’s press conferences have elevated him onto a level of unprecedented pay-per-view success.


Part of the act is getting tiresome, though. And forced. McGregor threatened to launch a chair at Alvarez but was ultimately deterred by security and UFC president Dana White.


The chair man: Conor McGregor (r) is restrained by Dana White.

The chair man: Conor McGregor (r) is restrained by Dana White.


It was an altercation which wouldn’t look out of place in the WWE and was unnecessary for an event already sold out and pretty much guaranteed to be a PPV hit.


McGregor’s legacy will not be cemented by his brash antics outside of the Octagon but what he accomplishes in it. But even he can acknowledge that fact.


“This just puts it even more in stone,” McGregor said after the press conference. “A second belt, it’s never been done. No one has ever come close, no one has attempted it. My legacy (is that) I’ll be immortalised after this.


“I’m trying to live in the moment right now, this is such an historic event. I’ll get the second world title.


“I believe that I will put this man away, but I am prepared for five rounds. I predict that I will rearrange his face. He’s too easy to hit.


“I think (I’ll beat him) in one round. If he can hold out and take it to the trenches, I’ll take my hat off to him. But he will never be the same again.”


Alvarez, of course, disagrees, saying: “I’ve always been the underground king in this sport. I just have this belt and no one’s getting it from me. I’m prepared to completely destroy Conor McGregor and silence the whole damn crowd.”




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